How to do market sizing?

Aug 6
Market sizing is a crucial step  needed in your pitch-deck and your communication with investors. It helps companies make smart choices about product development, pricing, marketing, and where to put resources. It shows potential financing parties how large the opportunity is. It indicates your revenue potential. This guide will walk you through how to do market sizing effectively. 
  • Market sizing helps businesses decide if a product is worth the investment.
  • There are two main approaches to market sizing: top-down and bottom-up. 
  • Defining your target audience is the first step in market sizing. 
  • Using industry reports and data can provide a clearer picture of market size. 
  • Market sizing is important for creating strong marketing and sales strategies. 

Defining your target audience

To effectively market your product or service, you define your target audience. Understanding your target audience helps you tailor your marketing efforts and reach the right people. This section will guide you through the steps. You will define your target audience, ensuring your marketing strategies are on point. 

Identifying key demographics

Start by examining who's currently purchasing your offerings and analyzing their characteristics. For instance, a store specializing in basketball apparel might find that most of its customers are 20- to 30-year-old basketball fans. This group would be the store's target consumer. Identifying key demographics involves looking at age, gender, location, and other relevant factors. 

Creating customer profiles

Once you've identified the key demographics, the next step is to create detailed customer profiles. These profiles should include your customers' behaviors, preferences, and needs. For example, you might find that professional women aged 30 to 50, living in urban areas, show the highest purchase intent for your product. Creating these profiles helps you understand your prime potential customers better. 

Understanding customer needs

To further refine your target audience, it's essential to understand their needs and how your product or service can solve their problems. Your product addresses specific issues of your target audience. You can tailor your offerings to their needs. Thus you increase your success. 
Defining your target audience is a crucial step for any business. It allows you to focus your marketing efforts and resources on the people most likely to buy your product or service.

Top-Down vs. Bottom-Up

There are two main approaches to sizing a market:  
  1. the top-down approach  
  2. the bottom-up approach.  


The top-down approach starts by looking at the entire market and then narrowing it down to find the accurate market size. On the other hand, the bottom-up approach begins with specific data points, like sales figures, and builds up to estimate the market size. Both methods have their strengths and weaknesses. 
Explore the TAM, SAM, SOM model in business strategy for market analysis and realistic goal setting. Essential insights for targeted growth and success. 

Master the TAM-SAM-SOM

Konsultori Academy courses

Konsultori Academy offers a range of courses designed to help businesses understand and apply the TAM-SAM-SOM framework. These courses cover everything from the basics to advanced strategies, making it easier for companies to strategically enter the market and expand their business. 

Expert consultations

Sometimes, the best way to master TAM-SAM-SOM is to consult with experts. Professional consultants can offer personalized advice and strategies tailored to your market needs. This can be especially useful for businesses looking to break into new markets or expand their market share.

Bottom-up market sizing approach

Gathering Data from Primary Sources 
The bottom-up approach focuses on individual segments that the product targets. Start by collecting data directly from primary sources like surveys, interviews, and customer feedback. This method ensures you have accurate and specific information about your target market. 

Estimating Market Size Based on Sales 

Once you have the data, estimate the market size by looking at sales figures. Calculate the segment size and revenue per unit. This helps in understanding the potential market size from the ground up. 

Calculating market size potential

Asking Clarifying Questions 
Before diving into calculations, it's crucial to ask some key questions. Is the market big enough to justify investment? What is the potential revenue from this market? Is the market growing or shrinking? These questions help you understand if it's worth your time and money. 

Developing a Market Sizing Framework 
To develop a market sizing framework, start by defining your target audience. Think about their age range, location, education, and income bracket. Next, consider the formula for market size: number of target users x purchases expected in a given period. This formula helps you estimate the market size or volume.  

Making Assumptions and Calculations 
When making assumptions, use historical data to analyze the market's performance. Is it on an upward trajectory? Then, apply the formula: number of target users x purchases expected in a given period = market size. This will give you a clear picture of the market's potential. 
To sum up your market sizing exercise, you can add this information to your pitch deck so potential investors can see the estimated earnings.  
Aligning product development
Market sizing helps businesses understand the potential scope of their target market. This understanding is crucial for product development. By understanding the size of the market, companies decide which features to prioritize and how to tailor their products to meet customer needs.

Learn to calculate potential for home and market and abroad!

Conclusion

Market sizing is a vital part of business planning. It helps companies make smart choices about products, prices, and marketing. By understanding the size of your market, you can see if your idea is worth the investment. There are different ways to figure out market size, like the top-down and bottom-up methods. These methods help you use data to get a clear picture of your market. Whether you are in marketing or sales, knowing how to size a market is a key skill. It helps you understand your potential reach and make better business decisions.